Despite Public Perception, It’s Not Too Late For Newt
This isn’t a mathematical statement. It’s not an unrealistic grind of something that simply cannot happen. Despite the surge by Rick Santorum and the steadfast (albeit reluctant) support for Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich can still win the GOP nomination.
He needs debates. He needs money. He needs a handful more endorsements from trusted conservatives.
Oh, and he needs Santorum to lose Michigan and Arizona.
Right now, Gingrich has no chance of winning in either state. Santorum is in the running in both, but losses combined with the abuses that are inherent with any front runner may be just enough to get him to back out and endorse Newt Gingrich for the sake of his family.
Either way, it works. If he wins either or both, he’ll be going into Super Tuesday with enough momentum to take a real run at Romney. If he loses both, his campaign is all but over. The only chance of Romney losing would be if either Gingrich or Santorum leave.
If both stay in, Santorum has the better chance but Romney will still be in the driver’s seat. If one were to leave, it would need to be Santorum passing his support over to the other conservative in the race.
Ron Paul has many ultra-conservative ideas but these are peppered with oddly liberal ones as well. Despite trying his darndest to look like a conservative, Mitt Romney simply doesn’t have it. He has neither the history, the ideas, or the steadfastness necessary to be a conservative.
Only a true conservative can defeat Barack Obama in November. The Republican Establishment’s choice, Romney, cannot. He may be moderate enough to fit their mold but he doesn’t have the skills necessary to run a campaign against the war-tested team for Obama.
Santorum is a good man and deserves to be President, but it may not be in the cards. If it comes down to him or Gingrich stepping down, it would be better if Santorum takes the high road and endorses Gingrich.
If that happens, there’s a chance that a conservative can take office in 2013.